Amid the delayed decision by the US SEC on a spot XRP ETF, the launch of a XRP futures ETF on May 19, 2025, has captured market attention. The CME Group confirmed the debut of its Ripple token-based futures exchange-traded fund, offering institutional and retail investors a regulated avenue for exposure. While not the coveted spot ETF, this launch could bolster liquidity and potentially sway SEC deliberations. But can it surpass the first-day performance of Ethereum and Bitcoin futures ETFs?
CME XRP Futures ETF: Key Details
The XRP Futures ETF will track the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate and feature two contract sizes:
- Micro contract: 2,500 XRP
- Standard contract: 50,000 XRP
Giovanni Vicioso, CME Group’s Global Head of Cryptocurrency Products, highlighted growing demand for XRP derivatives, emphasizing their role in risk management and price discovery.
Market Implications
- Spot ETF Odds: Polymarket reflects an 83% probability of SEC approving a spot XRP ETF, with Franklin Templeton’s filing under review by June 17.
- Liquidity Boost: Analysts project the futures ETF could attract $60M in first-day volume** and **$35M in AUM, though this pales next to Bitcoin’s $1B debut (BITO) and Ethereum’s $20M AUM.
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XRP vs. ETH/BTC Futures: Can It Compete?
Historical data suggests XRP’s debut may lag behind ETH and BTC due to:
- Lower market capitalization and trading volume relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum.
- Investor focus remains skewed toward spot ETF approvals.
- Performance of existing leveraged XRP products (e.g., Teucrium’s XXRP) has been tepid.
FAQ Section
1. When does the XRP Futures ETF launch?
May 19, 2025.
2. What contract sizes are available?
2,500 XRP (micro) and 50,000 XRP (standard).
3. Could this influence the SEC’s spot ETF decision?
Yes, strong liquidity and institutional demand might sway regulatory sentiment.
Conclusion
While the XRP Futures ETF marks a milestone for Ripple, its debut is unlikely to eclipse Bitcoin or Ethereum’s records. Investors should monitor liquidity trends and SEC signals for spot ETF approvals as the next catalyst.
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