Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast: Short-Term Correction Up to 25%, Long-Term Potential Remains Strong

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Bitcoin’s Price Rally May Not Last, Short-Term Correction Likely

Recent Bitcoin price movements have captured market attention, but many analysts remain skeptical about its ability to sustain short-term strength.

Independent research firm Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton notes that Bitcoin’s recent price surge indicates an "overbought" condition, predicting a potential double-digit correction in the near term.

Stockton Projects a 13% Short-Term Drop for Bitcoin

In a recent report, Stockton highlighted that while Bitcoin briefly surpassed the $100,000 milestone this week, its price action could weaken further.

She anticipates Bitcoin finding support around $84,500—a 13% drop from current levels. If the correction deepens, support may extend to $73,800, implying a 25% decline.

Stockton emphasizes this rebound could fade quickly, with the recent peak unlikely to surpass December 2023 highs. Weekly stochastic indicators suggest Bitcoin is in an "active overbought downtrend," limiting near-term upside.

Long-Term Bitcoin Outlook Stays Positive

Despite short-term risks, Stockton remains bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. She believes the 2025 Bitcoin price trend could benefit from a robust macro backdrop, especially post-U.S. presidential election, reigniting optimism.

Investors also expect Federal Reserve rate cuts and crypto-friendly policies under a new administration to bolster Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin’s Potential as a Global Reserve Asset

Beyond technical factors, Bitcoin’s global appeal continues growing. Recent speculation about the U.S. potentially establishing a Bitcoin reserve under a Trump administration has sparked intense interest. This move could set a precedent for other nations, especially amid rising economic uncertainty, positioning Bitcoin as a diversification tool.

For instance, Czech National Bank (CNB) Governor Aleš Michl revealed discussions about adding Bitcoin to its reserves—a small but symbolic step toward asset diversification.

👉 Bitcoin price prediction insights

Key Takeaways

Investors should stay agile, monitoring Bitcoin’s volatility while leveraging its long-term opportunities.


FAQs

1. Why is Bitcoin expected to correct soon?

Bitcoin’s rapid price surge has triggered overbought signals, with technical indicators like stochastic oscillators pointing to a near-term pullback.

2. What support levels should traders watch?

Key levels are $84,500 (13% drop) and $73,800 (25% decline), per Fairlead Strategies’ analysis.

3. How could U.S. politics impact Bitcoin’s price?

Election outcomes and potential crypto-friendly policies (e.g., Bitcoin reserves) may fuel long-term bullish sentiment.

4. Is Bitcoin becoming a reserve asset?

Yes, with institutions like the Czech National Bank exploring Bitcoin for diversification, its reserve asset status is rising.

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Trading involves risks; past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. This content is informational and not investment advice.


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