After reaching a historic all-time high of over $93,000, Bitcoin has entered a phase where market participants are closely analyzing historical patterns to predict the duration of the current bull cycle.
According to Rekt Capital, a renowned crypto analyst, the current bull run could extend into late 2025. This projection is based on Bitcoin’s recurring price movements around halving events, which have shown remarkable consistency across past cycles.
Bitcoin’s Halving Cycle Patterns
Bitcoin’s price movements demonstrate a mirror-like pattern around halving events:
- The 2016 cycle had a 547-day pre-halving bottom and a 518-day post-halving peak.
- The 2020 cycle bottomed 517 days before the halving and peaked 550 days after.
- The current cycle (2024) replicated the 517-day pre-halving bottom, suggesting a potential peak between September and October 2025 (~518–550 days post-halving).
This symmetry strengthens the projection, particularly since the 2020 and 2024 cycles share identical pre-halving timing.
👉 Why Bitcoin halving events matter
Bitcoin Enters the Parabolic Phase
Bitcoin has now entered what Rekt Capital identifies as the parabolic phase—marked by explosive price discovery after breaking previous all-time highs. Key characteristics include:
- A 300-day duration (following a 200-day reaccumulation period).
- Diminishing returns compared to past cycles but still potential targets of $120,000–$130,000.
- Periodic corrections that historically act as launching pads for further rallies rather than cycle endings.
What to Expect Next?
Rekt Capital’s framework outlines:
- Pre-halving rally
- Pre-halving retracement (deeper than usual)
- Extended reaccumulation
- Parabolic breakout
With ~300 days remaining in this phase, the bull market likely has significant upside left before peaking in late 2025.
FAQs About Bitcoin’s Bull Market
1. When will the Bitcoin bull market end?
Based on historical halving cycles, the peak is projected for late 2025 (~518–550 days post-April 2024 halving).
2. How high could Bitcoin go?
Conservative estimates suggest $120,000–$130,000, accounting for diminishing returns vs. past cycles.
3. Should investors expect corrections?
Yes—periodic pullbacks are normal in parabolic phases but often precede further gains.
👉 Bitcoin trading strategies for bull markets
Key Takeaways
- The current bull run aligns with past halving cycles.
- Late 2025 is the projected peak.
- Parabolic phases are volatile but offer major upside.
Always conduct independent research before investing. Crypto markets are highly volatile.